Prediction of Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Maja Chwalinska at Internazionali Di Calabria - Rende 10-03-25

• How do the players compare on second serves recently? In the past six months, Maja Chwalinska has been more effective, winning 42.26% of second serve points, versus Oksana Selekhmeteva's 37.34%.
• Oksana Selekhmeteva appears stronger in return games lately, claiming 53.05% of opponents' second serve points compared to Maja Chwalinska's 47.18%.
• Which player handles pressure better? Under pressure, Oksana Selekhmeteva saved 49.57% of breakpoints, whereas Maja Chwalinska saved 45.53%.
• Over the past year, Oksana Selekhmeteva won 66.67% of her matches, slightly edging out Maja Chwalinska's 62.26% win rate.
• Both players excel on clay, with a 69% career win rate on this surface for both. However, Selekhmeteva struggles more indoors (50% win rate), while Chwalinska's least favorite surface is grass, where she holds a 54% win rate.
• At the ITF tournament level, their winning percentages are nearly identical, with Selekhmeteva at 68.63% and Chwalinska at 68.75%.
• In their head-to-head record, Chwalinska leads 2-0, having won all sets played between them.
• Oksana Selekhmeteva tends to perform better in deciding sets, winning 82% over the last 12 months, compared to Chwalinska's 57%.
• The quality of opponents recently faced by both is quite comparable, with Selekhmeteva playing opponents averaging a rank of 210.35, against Chwalinska's 216.04.

Editorial Prediction (October 3, 2025, UTC):

Both players have shown particular strengths and weaknesses that can influence the outcome of this match. Maja Chwalinska exhibits greater proficiency on second serves, which could provide her with a slight edge in rallies.

Conversely, Oksana Selekhmeteva's ability to win return points and save breakpoints gives her an advantage, especially in tight situations. Her superior performance in deciding sets could be crucial if this match extends to a final set.

Their head-to-head record clearly favors Maja Chwalinska, with two clear wins, both in straight sets. Yet, Oksana’s stronger overall recent match win rate and resilience in pressure situations can't be ignored.

Considering these factors, along with Chwalinska’s edge in direct encounters, Maja Chwalinska is slightly favored to win this matchup. However, Oksana Selekhmeteva’s strengths in returns and pressure scenarios could make this an interesting contest.